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1. Jimmer Fredette, PG, BYU Cougars
The Good: Fredette is a scoring machine who can fill it up from anywhere on the floor. He has crazy range on his 3-point shot and also is adept at finishing around the basket. He's tough and he's a winner. He's unafraid to put his team on his back. When he's double- and triple-teamed, he shows that he can be a willing passer as well.
The Bad: He's not an explosive athlete. He's not a stiff, but he's not in the same league with the ultra-quick point guards the draft has produced the past few years. He's also undersized if he projects as a 2 in the pros. His defense is as bad as his offense is good.
The Upside: There's no player in the draft who can divide NBA scouts the way Fredette does. Some see his toughness, shooting ability and basketball IQ and are convinced he'll find a way to be a serious NBA player -- either a point guard like Steve Nash or a big-time shooter like Ben Gordon or Stephen Curry. Others see an undersized 2-guard who lacks lateral quickness and doesn't have a position. They scream Adam Morrison at worst, Eddie House at best. Fredette has been awesome on the big stage in the past. If he can take an undermanned BYU team deep, he's probably a lottery pick.
2. Patric Young, PF/C, Florida Gators
The Good: Young has the body of an NBA All-Star. He's a tough, physical player who can dominate the paint as a rebounder and shot blocker.
The Bad: He's been one of the least effective offensive players in the country. He's averaging just 3.3 ppg in 18 mpg.
The Upside: How can a player averaging 3.3 ppg be considered a first-round pick? NBA scouts are convinced Young has the potential to be a dominant defensive big man whether he gets his offensive game going or not (think Ben Wallace). His body is NBA-ready, as is his defense. If he shows he's a game-changer on the defensive end the next few weeks, the lottery is not out of the question for him.
3. Tyler Honeycutt, F, UCLA Bruins
The Good: Honeycutt isn't flashy, but he's the sort of player who is a jack of all trades. He can be a solid shooter, decent rebounder, handles the ball well, sees the floor and has a nice basketball IQ.
The Bad : Honeycutt doesn't really stand out in any one area. He's not a great athlete, has struggled with his shooting at times this season and his numbers, across the board, have been pretty pedestrian.
The Upside: There were high hopes for Honeycutt coming into the season, and he's shown flashes of being an NBA prospect. But for the most part, he's been a disappointment. If NBA GMs take any solace, it's in the fact that UCLA prospects in Ben Howland's system come out the other side pretty NBA-ready. Russell Westbrook, Kevin Love, Darren Collison and Jrue Holiday all have been better in the pros than their college stats indicated they would be.
4. Jon Leuer, PF, Wisconsin Badgers
The Good: The big man has been one of the most efficient players in college this season. He's an excellent shooter for a big man who can stretch defenses all the way to the 3-point line. He's also a pretty good ball handler for a big and can create his own shot off the dribble.
The Bad: Leuer isn't a great athlete. He doesn't have great strength for an NBA 4. And, to top it off, he's not a great rebounder for a player his size.
The Upside: There are a number of NBA teams who need stretch 4s in their offensive schemes, and as far as big-men shooters go, Leuer is one of the best in the draft. Despite playing in the Big Ten, Wisconsin always goes a bit under-scouted. Leuer and teammate Jordan Taylor are probably a bit underrated right now. A big tournament will change that.
5. Elias Harris, F, Gonzaga Bulldogs
The Good: The versatile forward can be an explosive scorer both inside and out. He runs the floor well, can create his own shot and can be a good rebounder.
The Bad: He's really struggled this season. His numbers are down across the board. He will have to shake the label of a tweener.
The Upside: Had Harris declared for the draft last season, he likely would've been a mid-first-round pick. But he's having a terrible season. Scouts are scratching their heads a bit -- especially because Harris is already 21 years old. A great tournament could re-establish him as a legit first-rounder, but it's going to take a lot of work.
Sleeper: Shelvin Mack, G, Butler Bulldogs
The Good: Mack is a big-time shooter with deep range on his jump shot. He's tough, physical and built like a tank. Despite his size, he's deceptively quick and a good floor leader.
The Bad: He's struggled a bit with his jump shot this season. Scouts see him as a tweener. Does he have the requisite vision to be a point guard in the pros? If not, he's undersized.
The Upside: Mack helped his stock quite a bit last season playing alongside Gordon Hayward. He's struggled to make big improvements over his sophomore season, however. Another big tournament from Mack and Butler could put him back on the first-round bubble.
Others to watch: Durrell Summers, G, Michigan State; Malcolm Lee, G, UCLA; Josh Smith, C, UCLA; Jordan Taylor, G, Wisconsin; Keith Appling, G, Michigan State; Kenny Boynton Jr., G, Florida; Chandler Parsons, F, Florida; Kalin Lucas, PG, Michigan State; Dwight Hardy, G, St. John's; Jacob Pullen, G, Kansas State; Draymond Green, F, Michigan State; Jamar Samuels, F, Kansas State; Gilbert Brown, G, Pittsburgh; Brad Wanamaker, G, Pittsburgh; Adreian Payne, PF, Michigan State; Robert Sacre, C, Gonzaga; Dante Taylor, PF, Pittsburgh; Matt Howard, F, Butler; Curtis Kelly, F, Kansas State; Alex Tyus, PF, Florida; Vernon Macklin, F, Florida.
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